New Jersey Devils
NJD · 33-32-4
5–2
FinalW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 30-29-9
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD
11519314538
PIT
01211818238
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Devils lead the season series 2–0
NJD 33-32-4 · PIT 30-29-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the Devils lead the season series 2–0
Devils beat the Penguins
The Devils earned it: 4.8 expected goals to 2.6, and a 5–2 win to show for it. The Devils owned the 3rd period, 2.5 to 0.4 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Devils created the better chances: 4.8 expected goals to 2.6, on 38 and 38 shots on goal.
NJD 4.8 xG · 38 shots
PIT 2.6 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.2 · 1.0
2nd
1.1 · 1.2
3rd · the swing
2.5 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dawson Mercer · 1st 05:35 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Marcus Pettersson · 2nd 07:16 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Timo Meier · 2nd 14:20 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Alexander Holtz · 3rd 08:58 · 3–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
5
Dawson Mercer · 3rd 09:14 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Timo Meier · 3rd 16:53 · 5–1 · bat shot, a great chance (28%)
7
Bryan Rust · 3rd 17:15 · 5–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Devils win 79.
NJD 79%PIT 21%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dawson Mercer · 1st 05:35 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Marcus Pettersson · 2nd 07:16 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Timo Meier · 2nd 14:20 · PP · 2–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Alexander Holtz · 3rd 08:58 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
5
Dawson Mercer · 3rd 09:14 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Timo Meier · 3rd 16:53 · PP · 5–1
Bat shot, a great chance (28%)
7
Bryan Rust · 3rd 17:15 · 5–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
36/38 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
33/38 saves · 5 GA · 4.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.