New Jersey Devils
NJD · 34-33-4
2–5
FinalL
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 29-36-4
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD
042808220
OTT
1631118525
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
NJD 34-33-4 · OTT 29-36-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Devils fell to the Senators
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.8 expected goals); the Devils lost 2–5. Jake Allen allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.8, on 20 and 25 shots on goal.
NJD 2.5 xG · 20 shots
OTT 2.8 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.9
2nd
1.0 · 1.3
3rd
0.7 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mathieu Joseph · 1st 04:56 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Jesper Bratt · 2nd 00:23 · 1–1 · backhand shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Tomas Nosek · 2nd 00:59 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Ridly Greig · 2nd 04:06 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
· 2nd 06:02 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Thomas Chabot · 2nd 09:01 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
7
Drake Batherson · 3rd 10:15 · 2–5 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Devils win 44.
NJD 44%OTT 56%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mathieu Joseph · 1st 04:56 · SH · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Jesper Bratt · 2nd 00:23 · 1–1
Backhand shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Tomas Nosek · 2nd 00:59 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Ridly Greig · 2nd 04:06 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
· 2nd 06:02 · GWG · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Thomas Chabot · 2nd 09:01 · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
7
Drake Batherson · 3rd 10:15 · 2–5
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
2
Unassisted · backhand shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/25 saves · 5 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
18/20 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.