New Jersey Devils
NJD · 38-39-5
1–4
FinalL
New York Islanders
NYI · 38-27-16
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD
081907124
NYI
2514110419
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Devils lead the season series 3–1
NJD 38-39-5 · NYI 38-27-16 · Meeting 4 this season — the Devils lead the season series 3–1
Devils fell to the Islanders
Chances were even (2.1 to 2.0 expected goals); the Devils lost 1–4. Jake Allen allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.1 expected goals to 2.0, on 24 and 19 shots on goal.
NJD 2.1 xG · 24 shots
NYI 2.0 xG · 19 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.6 · 0.7
2nd
1.1 · 0.6
3rd
0.4 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 1st 12:22 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Kyle Palmieri · 1st 16:52 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Timo Meier · 2nd 03:25 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
4
Brock Nelson · 2nd 11:48 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Kyle MacLean · 3rd 06:17 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Devils win 53.
NJD 53%NYI 47%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 1st 12:22 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Kyle Palmieri · 1st 16:52 · PP · GWG · 0–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Timo Meier · 2nd 03:25 · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
4
Brock Nelson · 2nd 11:48 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Kyle MacLean · 3rd 06:17 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
15/19 saves · 4 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
23/24 saves · 1 GA · 2.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.