New Jersey Devils
NJD · 2-1-0
2–4
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 1-1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD
181807223
TOR
3111704422
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Devils trail the season series 0–1
NJD 2-1-0 · TOR 1-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Devils trail the season series 0–1
Devils fell to the Maple Leafs
The Devils created the better chances (2.5 to 1.4 expected goals) — and lost 2–4. Jacob Markstrom allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Devils created the better chances: 2.5 expected goals to 1.4, on 23 and 22 shots on goal.
NJD 2.5 xG · 23 shots
TOR 1.4 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.9 · 0.4
2nd
1.0 · 0.8
3rd
0.5 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Max Pacioretty · 1st 08:18 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Bobby McMann · 1st 11:29 · 0–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Steven Lorentz · 1st 14:46 · 0–3 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Jesper Bratt · 1st 19:18 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
John Tavares · 2nd 14:52 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Timo Meier · 2nd 19:54 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Devils win 69.
NJD 69%TOR 31%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Max Pacioretty · 1st 08:18 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Bobby McMann · 1st 11:29 · 0–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Steven Lorentz · 1st 14:46 · GWG · 0–3
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Jesper Bratt · 1st 19:18 · PP · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
John Tavares · 2nd 14:52 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Timo Meier · 2nd 19:54 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
6
Johnathan Kovacevic, Brenden Dillon · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2–4
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
18/22 saves · 4 GA · 1.4 xGA
Allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.