New Jersey Devils
NJD · 13-7-2
4–2
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 14-5-0
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD
191824421
CAR
170718222
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
NJD 13-7-2 · CAR 14-5-0 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Devils beat the Hurricanes
The Devils earned it: 3.1 expected goals to 2.1, and a 4–2 win to show for it. The Devils scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Devils created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.1, on 21 and 22 shots on goal.
NJD 3.1 xG · 21 shots
CAR 2.1 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 0.8
2nd
1.0 · 0.7
3rd
0.8 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jack Roslovic · 1st 08:43 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Jesper Bratt · 1st 14:45 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
3
Stefan Noesen · 2nd 00:46 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 00:12 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Dougie Hamilton · 3rd 10:35 · 3–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Jesper Bratt · 3rd 14:05 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Devils win 66.
NJD 66%CAR 34%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jack Roslovic · 1st 08:43 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Jesper Bratt · 1st 14:45 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
3
Stefan Noesen · 2nd 00:46 · PP · 2–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 00:12 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Dougie Hamilton · 3rd 10:35 · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Jesper Bratt · 3rd 14:05 · PP · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/22 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
17/21 saves · 4 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.