New Jersey Devils
NJD · 24-11-3
4–2
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 21-13-1
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD
2721006423
CAR
11011407231
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Devils lead the season series 2–1
NJD 24-11-3 · CAR 21-13-1 · Meeting 3 this season — the Devils lead the season series 2–1
Devils beat the Hurricanes
The Devils were outchanced (3.9 to 2.1 expected goals) but won 4–2 anyway. Jacob Markstrom stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 2.1, on 31 and 23 shots on goal.
NJD 2.1 xG · 23 shots
CAR 3.9 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.5 · 1.5
2nd
1.2 · 1.7
3rd
0.4 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Eric Robinson · 1st 10:03 · 0–1 · poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (80%)
2
Ondrej Palat · 1st 16:12 · 1–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Nico Hischier · 1st 16:54 · 2–1 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Brent Burns · 2nd 00:22 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Luke Hughes · 2nd 04:15 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Dawson Mercer · 2nd 08:47 · 4–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Devils win 23.
NJD 23%CAR 77%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Eric Robinson · 1st 10:03 · 0–1
Poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (80%)
2
Ondrej Palat · 1st 16:12 · 1–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Nico Hischier · 1st 16:54 · 2–1
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Brent Burns · 2nd 00:22 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Luke Hughes · 2nd 04:15 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Dawson Mercer · 2nd 08:47 · 4–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.