New Jersey Devils
NJD · 37-28-6
2–3
FinalL
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 37-27-5
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD
0616115227
OTT
073804319
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Devils trail the season series 1–2
NJD 37-28-6 · OTT 37-27-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Devils trail the season series 1–2
Devils fell to the Senators
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.7 expected goals); the Devils lost 2–3.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.7, on 27 and 19 shots on goal.
NJD 2.6 xG · 27 shots
OTT 2.7 xG · 19 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 1.0
2nd
0.6 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
1.3 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 04:05 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Drake Batherson · 2nd 04:38 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Nico Hischier · 2nd 07:13 · 1–2 · slap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
David Perron · 2nd 08:44 · 1–3 · deflected shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Erik Haula · 3rd 19:36 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Devils win 49.
NJD 49%OTT 51%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 04:05 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Drake Batherson · 2nd 04:38 · 0–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Nico Hischier · 2nd 07:13 · PP · 1–2
Slap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
David Perron · 2nd 08:44 · PP · GWG · 1–3
Deflected shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Erik Haula · 3rd 19:36 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
16/19 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.