New Jersey Devils
NJD · 41-30-7
2–7
FinalL
Boston Bruins
BOS · 32-38-9
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD
0102704221
BOS
2112836725
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
NJD 41-30-7 · BOS 32-38-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Devils fell to the Bruins
Chances were even (2.0 to 2.3 expected goals); the Devils lost 2–7. Jacob Markstrom allowed 4.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.0 expected goals to 2.3, on 21 and 25 shots on goal.
NJD 2.0 xG · 21 shots
BOS 2.3 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.5 · 0.5
2nd
0.9 · 0.7
3rd
0.6 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
David Pastrnak · 1st 09:38 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
· 1st 19:24 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Jakub Lauko · 2nd 03:45 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Stefan Noesen · 2nd 13:51 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Timo Meier · 2nd 14:10 · 2–3 · deflected shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Casey Mittelstadt · 2nd 19:07 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Morgan Geekie · 3rd 04:58 · 2–5 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
8
Fraser Minten · 3rd 06:55 · 2–6 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
9
Cole Koepke · 3rd 10:50 · 2–7 · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Devils win 45.
NJD 45%BOS 55%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
David Pastrnak · 1st 09:38 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
· 1st 19:24 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Jakub Lauko · 2nd 03:45 · GWG · 0–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Stefan Noesen · 2nd 13:51 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 1–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Timo Meier · 2nd 14:10 · 2–3
Deflected shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Casey Mittelstadt · 2nd 19:07 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Morgan Geekie · 3rd 04:58 · 2–5
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
8
Fraser Minten · 3rd 06:55 · 2–6
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
9
Cole Koepke · 3rd 10:50 · 2–7
Snap shot, a great chance (28%)
1st period
2
Parker Wotherspoon, David Pastrnak · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
0–2
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
16/23 saves · 7 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 4.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
2/2 saves · 0 GA · 0.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.