New Jersey Devils
NJD · 1-2
3–2
Final / OTW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 2-1
1ST2ND3RDOT2OTT
NJD
18091801210337
CAR
04014260300227
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Devils trail the series 1–2
NJD 1-2 · CAR 2-1 · Game 3 — the Devils trail the series 1–2
Devils beat the Hurricanes
The Devils earned it: 5.2 expected goals to 3.0, and they won it in overtime on Nemec's goal. Frederik Andersen stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Devils created the better chances: 5.2 expected goals to 3.0, on 37 and 27 shots on goal.
NJD 5.2 xG · 37 shots
CAR 3.0 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.9 · 0.3
2nd
1.7 · 1.3
3rd
1.2 · 1.0
OT · the swing
1.3 · 0.4
2OT
0.0 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nico Hischier · 1st 16:11 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
2
Dawson Mercer · 3rd 01:18 · 2–0 · poke shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 06:11 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 12:20 · 2–2 · slap shot, a good chance (25%)
5
Simon Nemec · 2OT 02:36 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Devils win 77.
NJD 77%CAR 23%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nico Hischier · 1st 16:11 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
2
Dawson Mercer · 3rd 01:18 · 2–0
Poke shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 06:11 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 12:20 · PP · 2–2
Slap shot, a good chance (25%)
5
Simon Nemec · 2OT 02:36 · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
2nd overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
34/37 saves · 3 GA · 5.2 xGA
Stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.