NJD
2–5
CAR
Final · L
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 1-3
2–5
FinalL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 3-1
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD
0421107222
CAR
28111210529
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the Devils trail the series 1–3
NJD 1-3 · CAR 3-1 · Game 4 — the Devils trail the series 1–3
Devils fell to the Hurricanes
The Devils were outchanced (2.3 to 1.8 expected goals) and lost 2–5. Jacob Markstrom allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 2.3 expected goals to 1.8, on 29 and 22 shots on goal.
NJD 1.8 xG · 22 shots
CAR 2.3 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.2 · 0.8
2nd
1.1 · 0.9
3rd
0.4 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Andrei Svechnikov · 1st 00:52 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Jaccob Slavin · 1st 09:47 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Andrei Svechnikov · 2nd 00:42 · 0–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Nico Hischier · 2nd 02:45 · 1–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Timo Meier · 2nd 07:34 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
6
Brent Burns · 3rd 14:14 · 2–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 16:43 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Devils win 40.
NJD 40%CAR 60%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Devils shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Andrei Svechnikov · 1st 00:52 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Jaccob Slavin · 1st 09:47 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Andrei Svechnikov · 2nd 00:42 · PP · GWG · 0–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Nico Hischier · 2nd 02:45 · 1–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Timo Meier · 2nd 07:34 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
6
Brent Burns · 3rd 14:14 · 2–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 16:43 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
14/15 saves · 1 GA · 1.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
