NJD
4–3
COL
Final / OT · W
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 8-1-0
4–3
Final / OTW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 5-1-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NJD
210130912424
COL
210091500324
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Devils lead the season series 1–0
NJD 8-1-0 · COL 5-1-4 · First meeting this season — the Devils lead the season series 1–0
Devils beat the Avalanche
The Devils were outchanced (3.3 to 2.7 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Hughes's goal anyway. Trent Miner allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.7, on 24 and 24 shots on goal.
NJD 2.7 xG · 24 shots
COL 3.3 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 1.1
2nd
0.6 · 1.2
3rd
0.8 · 0.9
OT
0.4 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Arseny Gritsyuk · 1st 09:09 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Jack Hughes · 1st 09:48 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 12:55 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
4
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 17:03 · 2–2 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
5
Connor Brown · 2nd 12:51 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Brock Nelson · 3rd 13:55 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
7
Jack Hughes · OT 01:53 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Devils win 41.
NJD 41%COL 59%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 3 penalties← Devils shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Arseny Gritsyuk · 1st 09:09 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Jack Hughes · 1st 09:48 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 12:55 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
4
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 17:03 · 2–2
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
5
Connor Brown · 2nd 12:51 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Brock Nelson · 3rd 13:55 · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
7
Jack Hughes · OT 01:53 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:28
Brock Nelson· Tripping
Brock Nelson· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:26
Timo Meier· High-sticking
Timo Meier· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:56
Luke Hughes· Interference
Luke Hughes· Interference
Killed
Minor
3rd period
Overtime
Goaltending
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
20/24 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Devils went 0-for-1 on the power play and killed all 2 Avalanche power plays.