New Jersey Devils
NJD · 17-13-1
4–8
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 18-11-2
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD
11516216437
TBL
41521327835
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Devils trail the season series 1–2
NJD 17-13-1 · TBL 18-11-2 · Meeting 3 this season — the Devils trail the season series 1–2
Devils fell to the Lightning
Chances were even (3.2 to 3.6 expected goals); the Devils lost 4–8. Jacob Markstrom allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.2 expected goals to 3.6, on 37 and 35 shots on goal.
NJD 3.2 xG · 37 shots
TBL 3.6 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 1.7
2nd
0.7 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
1.7 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nick Paul · 1st 02:57 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Darren Raddysh · 1st 03:48 · 0–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Luke Hughes · 1st 07:00 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Pontus Holmberg · 1st 07:56 · 1–3 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Jake Guentzel · 1st 15:00 · 1–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (44%)
6
Oliver Bjorkstrand · 2nd 06:19 · 1–5 · wrist shot, a great chance (25%)
7
Jesper Bratt · 2nd 13:12 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a great chance (45%)
8
Brandon Hagel · 2nd 16:35 · 2–6 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
9
· 3rd 03:13 · 3–6 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
10
Brayden Point · 3rd 07:55 · 3–7 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
11
Paul Cotter · 3rd 15:28 · 4–7 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
12
Oliver Bjorkstrand · 3rd 15:57 · 4–8 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Devils win 44.
NJD 44%TBL 56%
Goals and penalties
12 goals · 8 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nick Paul · 1st 02:57 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Darren Raddysh · 1st 03:48 · 0–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Luke Hughes · 1st 07:00 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Pontus Holmberg · 1st 07:56 · 1–3
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Jake Guentzel · 1st 15:00 · PP · 1–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (44%)
6
Oliver Bjorkstrand · 2nd 06:19 · GWG · 1–5
Wrist shot, a great chance (25%)
7
Jesper Bratt · 2nd 13:12 · PP · 2–5
Wrist shot, a great chance (45%)
8
Brandon Hagel · 2nd 16:35 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–6
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
9
· 3rd 03:13 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–6
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
10
Brayden Point · 3rd 07:55 · 3–7
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
11
Paul Cotter · 3rd 15:28 · 4–7
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
12
Oliver Bjorkstrand · 3rd 15:57 · PP · 4–8
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:28
Nico Hischier· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:53
Simon Nemec· Hooking
Guentzel scored on this power play
Minor
5
Oliver Bjorkstrand, Darren Raddysh · Power play (Nemec, hooking) · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (44%)
1–4
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:10
Scott Sabourin· Boarding
Killed
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
17:10
Brenden Dillon· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
17:10
Scott Sabourin· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:18
Yanni Gourde· Tripping
Bratt scored on this power play
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:37
Scott Sabourin· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:15
Ondrej Palat· Holding
Bjorkstrand scored on this power play
Minor
12
Jake Guentzel, Nikita Kucherov · Power play (Palat, holding) · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
4–8
Goaltending
23/28 saves · 5 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
4/7 saves · 3 GA · 0.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Devils went 1-for-2 on the power play and allowed 2 on 3 Lightning power plays.