New Jersey Devils
NJD · 18-13-1
4–1
FinalW
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 19-12-1
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD
192815422
ANA
16011014131
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
NJD 18-13-1 · ANA 19-12-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Devils beat the Ducks
Chances were even (2.9 to 2.5 expected goals); the Devils won 4–1. Jake Allen stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 2.5, on 22 and 31 shots on goal.
NJD 2.9 xG · 22 shots
ANA 2.5 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.3 · 0.7
2nd
1.2 · 0.8
3rd
0.4 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Troy Terry · 1st 13:18 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Stefan Noesen · 1st 16:09 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Paul Cotter · 2nd 05:52 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Cody Glass · 2nd 17:04 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Connor Brown · 3rd 18:00 · 4–1 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Devils win 55.
NJD 55%ANA 45%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 5 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Troy Terry · 1st 13:18 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Stefan Noesen · 1st 16:09 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Paul Cotter · 2nd 05:52 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Cody Glass · 2nd 17:04 · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Connor Brown · 3rd 18:00 · EN · 4–1
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:22
Dougie Hamilton· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:18
Jonas Siegenthaler· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:16
Ryan Strome· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:31
Alex Killorn· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
12:10
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Killed
Bench minor
3rd period
Goaltending
30/31 saves · 1 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Devils went 0-for-2 on the power play and killed all 3 Ducks power plays.