New Jersey Devils
NJD · 30-29-2
5–1
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 30-28-3
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD
110211212533
FLA
1120702121
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Devils lead the season series 2–1
NJD 30-29-2 · FLA 30-28-3 · Meeting 3 this season — the Devils lead the season series 2–1
Devils beat the Panthers
Chances were even (1.7 to 1.6 expected goals); the Devils won 5–1.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.7 expected goals to 1.6, on 33 and 21 shots on goal.
NJD 1.7 xG · 33 shots
FLA 1.6 xG · 21 shots
0
1
1st · the swing
0.4 · 1.2
2nd
0.8 · 0.4
3rd
0.4 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Arseny Gritsyuk · 1st 12:10 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Anton Lundell · 1st 14:37 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Dougie Hamilton · 2nd 01:35 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Cody Glass · 2nd 08:13 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Dawson Mercer · 3rd 16:23 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
6
Simon Nemec · 3rd 19:20 · 5–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Devils win 51.
NJD 51%FLA 49%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 10 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Arseny Gritsyuk · 1st 12:10 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Anton Lundell · 1st 14:37 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Dougie Hamilton · 2nd 01:35 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Cody Glass · 2nd 08:13 · 3–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Dawson Mercer · 3rd 16:23 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
6
Simon Nemec · 3rd 19:20 · EN · 5–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:29
Brenden Dillon· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:29
Eetu Luostarinen· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:29
Brenden Dillon· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:15
Luke Hughes· Hooking
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:15
A.J. Greer· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:07
Brenden Dillon· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:07
Brenden Dillon· Roughing
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:47
Aaron Ekblad· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:26
Brad Marchand· Holding
Killed
Minor
4
Lenni Hameenaho, Dougie Hamilton · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:48
Brad Marchand· Unsportsmanlike conduct
Killed
Minor
3rd period
Goaltending
20/21 saves · 1 GA · 1.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Devils went 0-for-3 on the power play and killed all 2 Panthers power plays.