New Jersey Devils
NJD · 31-29-2
4–3
Final / SOW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 27-24-11
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
NJD
114116114031447
TOR
1111915020327
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Devils lead the season series 2–1
NJD 31-29-2 · TOR 27-24-11 · Meeting 3 this season — the Devils lead the season series 2–1
Devils beat the Maple Leafs
The Devils earned it: 3.8 expected goals to 2.2, and they won it in a shootout. Anthony Stolarz stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Devils created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.2, on 47 and 27 shots on goal.
NJD 3.8 xG · 47 shots
TOR 2.2 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 0.9
2nd
1.3 · 0.5
3rd · the swing
1.3 · 0.3
OT
0.3 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matias Maccelli · 1st 05:26 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Timo Meier · 1st 07:55 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
William Nylander · 2nd 03:20 · 1–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Arseny Gritsyuk · 2nd 06:06 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Matthew Knies · 3rd 13:50 · 2–3 · bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
6
Connor Brown · 3rd 17:39 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Devils win 74.
NJD 74%TOR 26%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 6 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matias Maccelli · 1st 05:26 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Timo Meier · 1st 07:55 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
William Nylander · 2nd 03:20 · PP · 1–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Arseny Gritsyuk · 2nd 06:06 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Matthew Knies · 3rd 13:50 · 2–3
Bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
6
Connor Brown · 3rd 17:39 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:16
Cody Glass· Slashing
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:21
Johnathan Kovacevic· Closing hand on puck
Nylander scored on this power play
Minor
3
Easton Cowan, Auston Matthews · Power play (Kovacevic, closing hand on puck) · deflected shot, a good chance (11%)
1–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:50
Brenden Dillon· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:11
Brandon Carlo· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:36
Philippe Myers· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:40
Dakota Joshua· Hooking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
Shootout
1
Paul Cotter
Goal
2
William Nylander
Save
3
Jesper Bratt
Goal
4
Auston Matthews
Save
Goaltending
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
44/47 saves · 3 GA · 5.3 xGA
Stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Devils went 0-for-3 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Maple Leafs power plays.