NYI
5–1
WSH
Final · W
New York Islanders
NYI · 37-34-10
5–1
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 44-25-12
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
26010310526
WSH
0701317127
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
NYI 37-34-10 · WSH 44-25-12 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Islanders beat the Capitals
The Islanders were outchanced (2.8 to 2.0 expected goals) but won 5–1 anyway. Vitek Vanecek allowed 3.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Capitals created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 2.0, on 27 and 26 shots on goal.
NYI 2.0 xG · 26 shots
WSH 2.8 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.5
2nd
0.5 · 0.8
3rd
1.0 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brock Nelson · 1st 10:48 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Anders Lee · 1st 15:34 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 3rd 03:44 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Kyle Palmieri · 3rd 06:23 · 4–0 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Josh Bailey · 3rd 13:37 · 5–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Axel Jonsson-Fjallby · 3rd 19:18 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 37.
NYI 37%WSH 63%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Capitals shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brock Nelson · 1st 10:48 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Anders Lee · 1st 15:34 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 3rd 03:44 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Kyle Palmieri · 3rd 06:23 · PP · 4–0
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Josh Bailey · 3rd 13:37 · 5–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Axel Jonsson-Fjallby · 3rd 19:18 · 5–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/27 saves · 1 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
21/26 saves · 5 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 3.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
