NYI
4–6
TBL
Final · L
New York Islanders
NYI · 37-35-10
4–6
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 51-23-8
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
110212116438
TBL
110011513634
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Islanders trail the season series 0–3
NYI 37-35-10 · TBL 51-23-8 · Meeting 3 this season — the Islanders trail the season series 0–3
Islanders fell to the Lightning
The Islanders let a 3–1 lead get away: the Lightning came back with five unanswered goals — McDonagh's equalizer — and won 4–6. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 4.7 expected goals to 5.0, on 38 and 34 shots on goal.
NYI 4.7 xG · 38 shots
TBL 5.0 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.1 · 1.2
2nd
2.0 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
1.6 · 2.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 1st 00:32 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Steven Stamkos · 1st 11:57 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Kieffer Bellows · 2nd 09:35 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Josh Bailey · 2nd 18:48 · 3–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
5
Corey Perry · 3rd 01:21 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Ryan McDonagh · 3rd 10:10 · 3–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (60%)
7
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 11:13 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
8
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 17:50 · 3–5 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
9
Zdeno Chara · 3rd 19:16 · 4–5 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
10
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 19:35 · 4–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 47.
NYI 47%TBL 53%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 1st 00:32 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Steven Stamkos · 1st 11:57 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Kieffer Bellows · 2nd 09:35 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Josh Bailey · 2nd 18:48 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
5
Corey Perry · 3rd 01:21 · PP · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Ryan McDonagh · 3rd 10:10 · 3–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (60%)
7
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 11:13 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
8
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 17:50 · GWG · 3–5
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
9
Zdeno Chara · 3rd 19:16 · 4–5
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
10
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 19:35 · EN · 4–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/33 saves · 5 GA · 5.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
34/38 saves · 4 GA · 4.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
