New York Islanders
NYI · 1-1-0
7–1
FinalW
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 1-1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
214313211738
ANA
060918123
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
NYI 1-1-0 · ANA 1-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
Islanders beat the Ducks
The Islanders earned it: 4.0 expected goals to 3.0, and a 7–1 win to show for it. John Gibson allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Islanders created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 3.0, on 38 and 23 shots on goal.
NYI 4.0 xG · 38 shots
ANA 3.0 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.5 · 0.6
2nd
1.0 · 1.0
3rd
1.5 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Scott Mayfield · 1st 10:34 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
2
Noah Dobson · 1st 12:08 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
· 2nd 05:34 · 3–0 · backhand shot off the rush, a good chance (24%)
4
Scott Mayfield · 2nd 12:55 · 4–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Anthony Beauvillier · 2nd 14:27 · 5–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Troy Terry · 3rd 01:29 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Robin Salo · 3rd 13:03 · 6–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Robin Salo · 3rd 19:02 · 7–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 65.
NYI 65%ANA 35%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Scott Mayfield · 1st 10:34 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
2
Noah Dobson · 1st 12:08 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
· 2nd 05:34 · 3–0
Backhand shot off the rush, a good chance (24%)
4
Scott Mayfield · 2nd 12:55 · 4–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Anthony Beauvillier · 2nd 14:27 · 5–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Troy Terry · 3rd 01:29 · 5–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Robin Salo · 3rd 13:03 · 6–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Robin Salo · 3rd 19:02 · 7–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/23 saves · 1 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
22/27 saves · 5 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.