New York Islanders
NYI · 5-4-0
5–4
FinalW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 4-4-1
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
010113421544
COL
011312114437
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
NYI 5-4-0 · COL 4-4-1 · First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
Islanders beat the Avalanche
Down 0–3 in the 2nd period, the Islanders erased the deficit with five unanswered goals — Mayfield's equalizer — and won 5–4.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Islanders created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 3.4, on 44 and 37 shots on goal.
NYI 4.2 xG · 44 shots
COL 3.4 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 0.7
2nd
1.5 · 1.6
3rd
1.8 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Evan Rodrigues · 2nd 00:46 · 0–1 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 07:28 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Evan Rodrigues · 2nd 08:33 · 0–3 · tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
4
Noah Dobson · 2nd 09:53 · 1–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Zach Parise · 3rd 03:35 · 2–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
6
Scott Mayfield · 3rd 10:39 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Anthony Beauvillier · 3rd 10:56 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Brock Nelson · 3rd 18:39 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Alex Newhook · 3rd 19:30 · 5–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 62.
NYI 62%COL 38%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Evan Rodrigues · 2nd 00:46 · PP · 0–1
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 07:28 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Evan Rodrigues · 2nd 08:33 · 0–3
Tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
4
Noah Dobson · 2nd 09:53 · 1–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Zach Parise · 3rd 03:35 · 2–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
6
Scott Mayfield · 3rd 10:39 · 3–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Anthony Beauvillier · 3rd 10:56 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Brock Nelson · 3rd 18:39 · EN · GWG · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Alex Newhook · 3rd 19:30 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 5–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
33/37 saves · 4 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
39/43 saves · 4 GA · 4.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.