NYI
4–3
CGY
Final / OT · W
New York Islanders
NYI · 8-5-0
4–3
Final / OTW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 5-4-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NYI
140821911432
CGY
21811201105346
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
NYI 8-5-0 · CGY 5-4-2 · First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
Islanders beat the Flames
Down 1–3 in the 2nd period, the Islanders erased the deficit with three unanswered goals — Palmieri's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Dobson's goal. Jacob Markstrom allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.8, on 46 and 32 shots on goal.
NYI 2.8 xG · 32 shots
CGY 3.7 xG · 46 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.4 · 1.4
2nd
0.6 · 0.6
3rd
1.3 · 1.0
OT
0.4 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mikael Backlund · 1st 11:16 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
2
· 1st 12:26 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Elias Lindholm · 1st 16:21 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Mikael Backlund · 2nd 14:06 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Anders Lee · 3rd 10:08 · 2–3 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
6
Kyle Palmieri · 3rd 11:07 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Noah Dobson · OT 04:02 · 4–3 · slap shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 36.
NYI 36%CGY 64%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mikael Backlund · 1st 11:16 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
2
· 1st 12:26 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Elias Lindholm · 1st 16:21 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Mikael Backlund · 2nd 14:06 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Anders Lee · 3rd 10:08 · 2–3
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
6
Kyle Palmieri · 3rd 11:07 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Noah Dobson · OT 04:02 · PP · GWG · 4–3
Slap shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
43/46 saves · 3 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
28/32 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
