New York Islanders
NYI · 15-8-0
5–2
FinalW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 7-10-5
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
161839523
PHI
1411509228
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
NYI 15-8-0 · PHI 7-10-5 · First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
Islanders beat the Flyers
Chances were even (2.7 to 2.3 expected goals); the Islanders won 5–2. Felix Sandstrom allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 2.3, on 23 and 28 shots on goal.
NYI 2.7 xG · 23 shots
PHI 2.3 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 0.5
2nd
1.0 · 1.0
3rd
1.3 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Adam Pelech · 1st 04:33 · 1–0 · slap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Lukas Sedlak · 1st 15:27 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Joel Farabee · 2nd 09:28 · 1–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (40%)
4
Zach Parise · 2nd 16:38 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Brock Nelson · 3rd 02:57 · 3–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Anthony Beauvillier · 3rd 03:19 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Zach Parise · 3rd 11:57 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 57.
NYI 57%PHI 43%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Adam Pelech · 1st 04:33 · 1–0
Slap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Lukas Sedlak · 1st 15:27 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Joel Farabee · 2nd 09:28 · 1–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (40%)
4
Zach Parise · 2nd 16:38 · PP · 2–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Brock Nelson · 3rd 02:57 · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Anthony Beauvillier · 3rd 03:19 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Zach Parise · 3rd 11:57 · PP · 5–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
18/23 saves · 5 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.