New York Islanders
NYI · 15-10-0
1–4
FinalL
Nashville Predators
NSH · 12-9-2
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
09018122149
NSH
171927423
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Islanders trail the season series 0–2
NYI 15-10-0 · NSH 12-9-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Islanders trail the season series 0–2
Islanders fell to the Predators
The Islanders created the better chances (3.2 to 1.9 expected goals) — and lost 1–4. Kevin Lankinen stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Islanders created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 1.9, on 49 and 23 shots on goal.
NYI 3.2 xG · 49 shots
NSH 1.9 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 1.1
2nd
1.4 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
1.2 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Filip Forsberg · 1st 14:18 · 0–1 · slap shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Roman Josi · 2nd 08:22 · 0–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Mathew Barzal · 3rd 11:06 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Matt Duchene · 3rd 18:47 · 1–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
5
Mikael Granlund · 3rd 19:23 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 72.
NYI 72%NSH 28%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Filip Forsberg · 1st 14:18 · PP · 0–1
Slap shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Roman Josi · 2nd 08:22 · PP · GWG · 0–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Mathew Barzal · 3rd 11:06 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Matt Duchene · 3rd 18:47 · EN · 1–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
5
Mikael Granlund · 3rd 19:23 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/21 saves · 2 GA · 1.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
48/49 saves · 1 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.