NYI
4–7
STL
Final · L
New York Islanders
NYI · 16-11-0
4–7
FinalL
St. Louis Blues
STL · 12-14-0
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
113014313440
STL
1621349728
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
NYI 16-11-0 · STL 12-14-0 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Islanders fell to the Blues
Chances were even (3.6 to 3.4 expected goals); the Islanders lost 4–7. Ilya Sorokin allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.6 expected goals to 3.4, on 40 and 28 shots on goal.
NYI 3.6 xG · 40 shots
STL 3.4 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 0.8
2nd
1.7 · 1.4
3rd
0.9 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Josh Leivo · 1st 17:13 · 0–1 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (19%)
2
Noah Dobson · 1st 17:52 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Ivan Barbashev · 2nd 03:51 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 14:58 · 1–3 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
5
Noel Acciari · 3rd 03:37 · 1–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Colton Parayko · 3rd 03:50 · 1–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Zach Parise · 3rd 05:36 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
8
· 3rd 14:43 · 3–5 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
9
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 3rd 15:04 · 4–5 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
10
Robert Thomas · 3rd 18:03 · 4–6 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
11
Noel Acciari · 3rd 18:55 · 4–7 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 54.
NYI 54%STL 46%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Blues shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Josh Leivo · 1st 17:13 · 0–1
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (19%)
2
Noah Dobson · 1st 17:52 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Ivan Barbashev · 2nd 03:51 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 14:58 · 1–3
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
5
Noel Acciari · 3rd 03:37 · 1–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Colton Parayko · 3rd 03:50 · GWG · 1–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Zach Parise · 3rd 05:36 · PP · 2–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
8
· 3rd 14:43 · 3–5
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
9
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 3rd 15:04 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–5
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
10
Robert Thomas · 3rd 18:03 · EN · 4–6
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
11
Noel Acciari · 3rd 18:55 · EN · 4–7
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/26 saves · 5 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
36/40 saves · 4 GA · 3.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
