New York Islanders
NYI · 17-12-0
0–3
FinalL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 15-6-6
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
070306016
CAR
0917213329
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
NYI 17-12-0 · CAR 15-6-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Islanders fell to the Hurricanes
The Islanders were outchanced (2.7 to 1.2 expected goals) and lost 0–3. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 2.7 expected goals to 1.2, on 29 and 16 shots on goal.
NYI 1.2 xG · 16 shots
CAR 2.7 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.8
2nd
0.2 · 0.9
3rd
0.4 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Paul Stastny · 2nd 07:06 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (52%)
2
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 3rd 04:05 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Jordan Staal · 3rd 08:49 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 23.
NYI 23%CAR 77%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Paul Stastny · 2nd 07:06 · GWG · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (52%)
2
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 3rd 04:05 · 0–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Jordan Staal · 3rd 08:49 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
16/16 saves · 0 GA · 1.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.