New York Islanders
NYI · 19-14-2
5–1
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 15-16-4
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
012216315543
FLA
180609123
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Islanders trail the season series 1–2
NYI 19-14-2 · FLA 15-16-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Islanders trail the season series 1–2
Islanders beat the Panthers
The Islanders earned it: 4.5 expected goals to 2.6, and a 5–1 win to show for it. Ilya Sorokin stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Islanders created the better chances: 4.5 expected goals to 2.6, on 43 and 23 shots on goal.
NYI 4.5 xG · 43 shots
FLA 2.6 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.5 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
1.8 · 1.0
3rd
1.2 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matthew Tkachuk · 1st 08:09 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
2
Anthony Beauvillier · 2nd 05:20 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Ryan Pulock · 2nd 19:15 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Aatu Räty · 3rd 07:10 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Zach Parise · 3rd 08:21 · 4–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Anthony Beauvillier · 3rd 15:50 · 5–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 75.
NYI 75%FLA 25%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matthew Tkachuk · 1st 08:09 · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
2
Anthony Beauvillier · 2nd 05:20 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Ryan Pulock · 2nd 19:15 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Aatu Räty · 3rd 07:10 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Zach Parise · 3rd 08:21 · 4–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Anthony Beauvillier · 3rd 15:50 · EN · 5–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/23 saves · 1 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
38/42 saves · 4 GA · 4.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.