NYI
3–4
WSH
Final / OT · L
New York Islanders
NYI · 23-18-4
3–4
Final / OTL
Washington Capitals
WSH · 24-16-6
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NYI
2111601102330
WSH
0521411214435
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Islanders trail the season series 0–1
NYI 23-18-4 · WSH 24-16-6 · First meeting this season — the Islanders trail the season series 0–1
Islanders fell to the Capitals
The Islanders let a 3–0 lead get away: the Capitals came back with four unanswered goals — Oshie's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Orlov's goal. The Capitals owned the 2nd period, 1.7 to 0.5 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 3.3, on 30 and 35 shots on goal.
NYI 3.0 xG · 30 shots
WSH 3.3 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.4
2nd · the swing
0.5 · 1.7
3rd
1.3 · 0.7
OT
0.3 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 1st 04:24 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Matt Martin · 1st 13:19 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
· 2nd 03:51 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Garnet Hathaway · 2nd 10:01 · 3–1 · poke shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
5
Tom Wilson · 2nd 13:08 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
T.J. Oshie · 3rd 05:54 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Dmitry Orlov · OT 04:27 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 45.
NYI 45%WSH 55%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Capitals shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 1st 04:24 · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Matt Martin · 1st 13:19 · 2–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
· 2nd 03:51 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Garnet Hathaway · 2nd 10:01 · 3–1
Poke shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
5
Tom Wilson · 2nd 13:08 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
T.J. Oshie · 3rd 05:54 · 3–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Dmitry Orlov · OT 04:27 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
2
Cal Clutterbuck, Alexander Romanov · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2–0
2nd period
3
Jean-Gabriel Pageau, Anthony Beauvillier · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3–0
3rd period
6
Erik Gustafsson, Evgeny Kuznetsov · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3–3
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
31/35 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
