NYI
2–5
CAR
Final · L
New York Islanders
NYI · 23-20-5
2–5
FinalL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 29-9-8
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
2807016231
CAR
2711029526
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Islanders trail the season series 1–2
NYI 23-20-5 · CAR 29-9-8 · Meeting 3 this season — the Islanders trail the season series 1–2
Islanders fell to the Hurricanes
The Islanders were outchanced (3.0 to 2.4 expected goals) and lost 2–5. Ilya Sorokin allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 2.4, on 26 and 31 shots on goal.
NYI 2.4 xG · 31 shots
CAR 3.0 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
0.5 · 1.4
3rd
1.5 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jordan Staal · 1st 00:44 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
2
Jesper Fast · 1st 03:52 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Simon Holmstrom · 1st 14:02 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Brock Nelson · 1st 15:42 · 2–2 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 16:40 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 07:09 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 19:38 · 2–5 · poke shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 41.
NYI 41%CAR 59%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jordan Staal · 1st 00:44 · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
2
Jesper Fast · 1st 03:52 · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Simon Holmstrom · 1st 14:02 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Brock Nelson · 1st 15:42 · 2–2
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 16:40 · GWG · 2–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 07:09 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 19:38 · EN · 2–5
Poke shot, into an empty net
1st period
4
Unassisted · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2–2
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
