NYI
5–4
PIT
Final · W
New York Islanders
NYI · 28-23-7
5–4
FinalW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 27-18-9
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
18210210528
PIT
11831907444
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Islanders lead the season series 2–0
NYI 28-23-7 · PIT 27-18-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the Islanders lead the season series 2–0
Islanders beat the Penguins
Down 1–3 in the 2nd period, the Islanders erased the deficit with four unanswered goals — Nelson's equalizer — and won 5–4. Casey DeSmith allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 4.3 expected goals to 2.3, on 44 and 28 shots on goal.
NYI 2.3 xG · 28 shots
PIT 4.3 xG · 44 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.7 · 2.1
2nd
1.2 · 1.9
3rd
0.5 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sidney Crosby · 1st 12:00 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (63%)
2
Anders Lee · 1st 13:56 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Rickard Rakell · 2nd 03:53 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Jason Zucker · 2nd 05:35 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Brock Nelson · 2nd 14:25 · 2–3 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Rickard Rakell · 2nd 18:57 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
7
Anders Lee · 2nd 19:32 · 3–4 · deflected shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Brock Nelson · 3rd 05:01 · 4–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
9
Zach Parise · 3rd 17:17 · 5–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 23.
NYI 23%PIT 77%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sidney Crosby · 1st 12:00 · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (63%)
2
Anders Lee · 1st 13:56 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Rickard Rakell · 2nd 03:53 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Jason Zucker · 2nd 05:35 · 1–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Brock Nelson · 2nd 14:25 · 2–3
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Rickard Rakell · 2nd 18:57 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
7
Anders Lee · 2nd 19:32 · 3–4
Deflected shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Brock Nelson · 3rd 05:01 · PP · 4–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
9
Zach Parise · 3rd 17:17 · GWG · 5–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
4
Pierre-Olivier Joseph, Chad Ruhwedel · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–3
5
Scott Mayfield, Alexander Romanov · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2–3
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
40/44 saves · 4 GA · 4.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
23/28 saves · 5 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
