New York Islanders
NYI · 30-24-7
2–1
FinalW
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 35-22-1
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
1110417222
WPG
0911205126
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
NYI 30-24-7 · WPG 35-22-1 · First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
Islanders beat the Jets
The Islanders were outchanced (3.2 to 2.1 expected goals) but won 2–1 anyway. Ilya Sorokin stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Jets created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.1, on 26 and 22 shots on goal.
NYI 2.1 xG · 22 shots
WPG 3.2 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
0.2 · 1.7
3rd
0.9 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 1st 17:35 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
2
Nikolaj Ehlers · 2nd 04:30 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Simon Holmstrom · 3rd 09:57 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 33.
NYI 33%WPG 67%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 1st 17:35 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
2
Nikolaj Ehlers · 2nd 04:30 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Simon Holmstrom · 3rd 09:57 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/26 saves · 1 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
20/22 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.