NYI
4–1
DET
Final · W
New York Islanders
NYI · 32-25-8
4–1
FinalW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 28-25-9
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
01609411436
DET
0616011123
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Islanders lead the season series 2–1
NYI 32-25-8 · DET 28-25-9 · Meeting 3 this season — the Islanders lead the season series 2–1
Islanders beat the Red Wings
The Islanders earned it: 2.7 expected goals to 1.0, and a 4–1 win to show for it. Magnus Hellberg allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Islanders created the better chances: 2.7 expected goals to 1.0, on 36 and 23 shots on goal.
NYI 2.7 xG · 36 shots
DET 1.0 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.2
2nd
0.8 · 0.3
3rd
1.0 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 18:59 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Zach Parise · 3rd 02:11 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
3
Anders Lee · 3rd 04:39 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Kyle Palmieri · 3rd 15:41 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Anders Lee · 3rd 17:22 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 81.
NYI 81%DET 19%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Red Wings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 18:59 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Zach Parise · 3rd 02:11 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
3
Anders Lee · 3rd 04:39 · GWG · 2–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Kyle Palmieri · 3rd 15:41 · PP · 3–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Anders Lee · 3rd 17:22 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/23 saves · 1 GA · 1.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
32/36 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
