NYI
3–2
BUF
Final · W
New York Islanders
NYI · 33-25-8
3–2
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 32-27-4
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
08117214339
BUF
081719224
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
NYI 33-25-8 · BUF 32-27-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Islanders beat the Sabres
The Islanders earned it: 4.1 expected goals to 1.5, and a 3–2 win to show for it. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Islanders created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 1.5, on 39 and 24 shots on goal.
NYI 4.1 xG · 39 shots
BUF 1.5 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 0.4
2nd · the swing
1.5 · 0.6
3rd
1.4 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 05:00 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Casey Cizikas · 2nd 12:38 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Josh Bailey · 3rd 01:51 · 2–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
4
Kyle Okposo · 3rd 04:59 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
· 3rd 07:37 · 3–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 86.
NYI 86%BUF 14%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 05:00 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Casey Cizikas · 2nd 12:38 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Josh Bailey · 3rd 01:51 · 2–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
4
Kyle Okposo · 3rd 04:59 · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
· 3rd 07:37 · GWG · 3–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 1.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
36/39 saves · 3 GA · 4.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
