NYI
7–2
TOR
Final · W
New York Islanders
NYI · 37-27-8
7–2
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 42-19-9
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
01039410729
TOR
1809110227
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Islanders lead the season series 2–1
NYI 37-27-8 · TOR 42-19-9 · Meeting 3 this season — the Islanders lead the season series 2–1
Islanders beat the Maple Leafs
Chances were even (2.9 to 2.9 expected goals); the Islanders won 7–2. Ilya Samsonov allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 2.9, on 29 and 27 shots on goal.
NYI 2.9 xG · 29 shots
TOR 2.9 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 1.0
2nd
1.0 · 1.1
3rd
1.4 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sam Lafferty · 1st 11:01 · 0–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Zach Parise · 2nd 00:28 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
3
· 2nd 13:50 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Cal Clutterbuck · 2nd 17:26 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Mitch Marner · 3rd 03:29 · 3–2 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Cal Clutterbuck · 3rd 04:13 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Simon Holmstrom · 3rd 10:00 · 5–2 · poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
8
Noah Dobson · 3rd 13:56 · 6–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Anders Lee · 3rd 16:46 · 7–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 50.
NYI 50%TOR 50%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sam Lafferty · 1st 11:01 · 0–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Zach Parise · 2nd 00:28 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
3
· 2nd 13:50 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Cal Clutterbuck · 2nd 17:26 · GWG · 3–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Mitch Marner · 3rd 03:29 · 3–2
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Cal Clutterbuck · 3rd 04:13 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Simon Holmstrom · 3rd 10:00 · 5–2
Poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
8
Noah Dobson · 3rd 13:56 · EN · 6–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Anders Lee · 3rd 16:46 · 7–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
22/28 saves · 6 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
