New York Islanders
NYI · 38-28-9
5–1
FinalW
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 46-20-8
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
11011739536
NJD
0918014131
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Islanders lead the season series 2–1
NYI 38-28-9 · NJD 46-20-8 · Meeting 3 this season — the Islanders lead the season series 2–1
Islanders beat the Devils
The Islanders were outchanced (4.1 to 3.0 expected goals) but won 5–1 anyway. Ilya Sorokin stopped 3.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Devils created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 3.0, on 31 and 36 shots on goal.
NYI 3.0 xG · 36 shots
NJD 4.1 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 1.4
2nd
1.3 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
0.7 · 1.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Pierre Engvall · 1st 07:37 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
2
Erik Haula · 2nd 06:15 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a great chance (33%)
3
Kyle Palmieri · 2nd 14:21 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Kyle Palmieri · 3rd 15:25 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Bo Horvat · 3rd 18:58 · 4–1 · tip in shot, into an empty net
6
Zach Parise · 3rd 19:59 · 5–1 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 33.
NYI 33%NJD 67%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Pierre Engvall · 1st 07:37 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
2
Erik Haula · 2nd 06:15 · SH · 1–1
Backhand shot, a great chance (33%)
3
Kyle Palmieri · 2nd 14:21 · GWG · 2–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Kyle Palmieri · 3rd 15:25 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Bo Horvat · 3rd 18:58 · EN · 4–1
Tip in shot, into an empty net
6
Zach Parise · 3rd 19:59 · EN · 5–1
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/31 saves · 1 GA · 4.1 xGA
Stopped 3.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.