NYI
6–1
TBL
Final · W
New York Islanders
NYI · 40-30-9
6–1
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 45-28-6
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
013415214642
TBL
03114014131
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Islanders trail the season series 1–2
NYI 40-30-9 · TBL 45-28-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Islanders trail the season series 1–2
Islanders beat the Lightning
The Islanders earned it: 3.3 expected goals to 2.6, and a 6–1 win to show for it. Brian Elliott allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Islanders created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.6, on 42 and 31 shots on goal.
NYI 3.3 xG · 42 shots
TBL 2.6 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.4
2nd
1.0 · 1.1
3rd
1.5 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Adam Pelech · 2nd 03:46 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Brock Nelson · 2nd 09:54 · 2–0 · snap shot, a great chance (29%)
3
Kyle Palmieri · 2nd 10:43 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 16:47 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Ryan Pulock · 2nd 19:40 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Simon Holmstrom · 3rd 15:14 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Bo Horvat · 3rd 19:40 · 6–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 62.
NYI 62%TBL 38%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Adam Pelech · 2nd 03:46 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Brock Nelson · 2nd 09:54 · GWG · 2–0
Snap shot, a great chance (29%)
3
Kyle Palmieri · 2nd 10:43 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 16:47 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Ryan Pulock · 2nd 19:40 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Simon Holmstrom · 3rd 15:14 · 5–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Bo Horvat · 3rd 19:40 · 6–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/31 saves · 1 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
36/42 saves · 6 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
