NYI
2–5
CAR
Final · L
New York Islanders
NYI · 1-3
2–5
FinalL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 3-1
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
0909211229
CAR
17212210529
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the Islanders trail the series 1–3
NYI 1-3 · CAR 3-1 · Game 4 — the Islanders trail the series 1–3
Islanders fell to the Hurricanes
The Islanders were outchanced (3.3 to 1.9 expected goals) and lost 2–5. Ilya Sorokin allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 1.9, on 29 and 29 shots on goal.
NYI 1.9 xG · 29 shots
CAR 3.3 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 1.1
2nd
0.6 · 1.1
3rd
0.5 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Seth Jarvis · 1st 04:05 · 0–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (58%)
2
Martin Necas · 2nd 01:15 · 0–2 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
3
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 13:30 · 0–3 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (24%)
4
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 01:20 · 0–4 · wrist shot, a great chance (25%)
5
Adam Pelech · 3rd 03:14 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
· 3rd 14:01 · 1–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Bo Horvat · 3rd 17:57 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 28.
NYI 28%CAR 72%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Seth Jarvis · 1st 04:05 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (58%)
2
Martin Necas · 2nd 01:15 · PP · 0–2
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
3
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 13:30 · GWG · 0–3
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (24%)
4
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 01:20 · 0–4
Wrist shot, a great chance (25%)
5
Adam Pelech · 3rd 03:14 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
· 3rd 14:01 · 1–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Bo Horvat · 3rd 17:57 · SH · 2–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/29 saves · 5 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 1.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
