New York Islanders
NYI · 1-0-0
3–2
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 0-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
27010112329
BUF
0711417228
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
NYI 1-0-0 · BUF 0-2-0 · First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
Islanders beat the Sabres
Chances were even (2.2 to 1.9 expected goals); the Islanders won 3–2.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.2 expected goals to 1.9, on 29 and 28 shots on goal.
NYI 2.2 xG · 29 shots
BUF 1.9 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.6 · 0.5
2nd
0.5 · 0.7
3rd
1.1 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brock Nelson · 1st 05:57 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Kyle Palmieri · 1st 18:18 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Jordan Greenway · 2nd 04:15 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 02:34 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Casey Cizikas · 3rd 13:40 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 56.
NYI 56%BUF 44%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brock Nelson · 1st 05:57 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Kyle Palmieri · 1st 18:18 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Jordan Greenway · 2nd 04:15 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 02:34 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Casey Cizikas · 3rd 13:40 · GWG · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 1.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.