NYI
3–2
OTT
Final · W
New York Islanders
NYI · 3-2-1
3–2
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 3-4-0
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
217010111338
OTT
013218016247
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
NYI 3-2-1 · OTT 3-4-0 · First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
Islanders beat the Senators
The Islanders were outchanced (3.7 to 2.9 expected goals) but won 3–2 anyway. Ilya Sorokin stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.9, on 47 and 38 shots on goal.
NYI 2.9 xG · 38 shots
OTT 3.7 xG · 47 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.3 · 1.2
2nd
0.6 · 1.0
3rd
0.9 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Bo Horvat · 1st 02:41 · 1–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (38%)
2
Cal Clutterbuck · 1st 13:05 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Claude Giroux · 2nd 06:52 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Jakob Chychrun · 2nd 12:25 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Noah Dobson · 3rd 06:45 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 37.
NYI 37%OTT 63%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Bo Horvat · 1st 02:41 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (38%)
2
Cal Clutterbuck · 1st 13:05 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Claude Giroux · 2nd 06:52 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Jakob Chychrun · 2nd 12:25 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Noah Dobson · 3rd 06:45 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
45/47 saves · 2 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
35/38 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
