NYI
3–4
CAR
Final / OT · L
New York Islanders
NYI · 5-2-3
3–4
Final / OTL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 7-5-0
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NYI
111280501325
CAR
01311321911446
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Islanders trail the season series 0–1
NYI 5-2-3 · CAR 7-5-0 · First meeting this season — the Islanders trail the season series 0–1
Islanders fell to the Hurricanes
The Islanders let a 3–0 lead get away: the Hurricanes came back with four unanswered goals — Kotkaniemi's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Aho's goal. The Hurricanes owned the 3rd period, 1.7 to 0.4 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.4, on 46 and 25 shots on goal.
NYI 2.4 xG · 25 shots
CAR 3.4 xG · 46 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.6
2nd
1.0 · 1.0
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 1.7
OT
0.1 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Noah Dobson · 1st 17:40 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Simon Holmstrom · 2nd 04:11 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Mathew Barzal · 2nd 07:46 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Jalen Chatfield · 2nd 08:18 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (0%) that found a way in
5
Dmitry Orlov · 3rd 12:19 · 3–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
6
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 3rd 15:26 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Sebastian Aho · OT 01:14 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 33.
NYI 33%CAR 67%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Noah Dobson · 1st 17:40 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Simon Holmstrom · 2nd 04:11 · SH · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Mathew Barzal · 2nd 07:46 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Jalen Chatfield · 2nd 08:18 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (0%) that found a way in
5
Dmitry Orlov · 3rd 12:19 · 3–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
6
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 3rd 15:26 · PP · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Sebastian Aho · OT 01:14 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
5
Jesperi Kotkaniemi, Andrei Svechnikov · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3–2
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
42/46 saves · 4 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
