NYI
3–2
PHI
Final · W
New York Islanders
NYI · 7-6-5
3–2
FinalW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 10-8-1
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
1911214325
PHI
08114114236
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
NYI 7-6-5 · PHI 10-8-1 · First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
Islanders beat the Flyers
The Islanders were outchanced (2.5 to 1.8 expected goals) but won 3–2 anyway. Carter Hart allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flyers created the better chances: 2.5 expected goals to 1.8, on 36 and 25 shots on goal.
NYI 1.8 xG · 25 shots
PHI 2.5 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.6 · 0.7
2nd
0.8 · 0.9
3rd
0.4 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Anders Lee · 1st 01:49 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Brock Nelson · 2nd 13:10 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Cam York · 2nd 14:18 · 2–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Brock Nelson · 3rd 02:33 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Joel Farabee · 3rd 15:56 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 37.
NYI 37%PHI 63%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Flyers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Anders Lee · 1st 01:49 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Brock Nelson · 2nd 13:10 · 2–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Cam York · 2nd 14:18 · 2–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Brock Nelson · 3rd 02:33 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Joel Farabee · 3rd 15:56 · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
3
Owen Tippett, Ryan Poehling · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
34/36 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
