New York Islanders
NYI · 12-7-7
3–2
Final / OTW
Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 16-4-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NYI
0110621211330
LAK
0921501100235
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
NYI 12-7-7 · LAK 16-4-4 · First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
Islanders beat the Kings
Down 0–2 in the 2nd period, the Islanders erased the deficit with three unanswered goals — Lee's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Pageau's goal. Ilya Sorokin stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 3.2, on 30 and 35 shots on goal.
NYI 3.1 xG · 30 shots
LAK 3.2 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
0.3 · 1.8
3rd
1.5 · 0.6
OT
0.2 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Adrian Kempe · 2nd 05:40 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Vladislav Gavrikov · 2nd 09:08 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Anders Lee · 3rd 08:42 · 1–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
4
Anders Lee · 3rd 15:49 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
5
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · OT 00:13 · 3–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 48.
NYI 48%LAK 52%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Adrian Kempe · 2nd 05:40 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Vladislav Gavrikov · 2nd 09:08 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Anders Lee · 3rd 08:42 · 1–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
4
Anders Lee · 3rd 15:49 · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
5
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · OT 00:13 · GWG · 3–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
33/35 saves · 2 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.