NYI
4–3
TOR
Final / OT · W
New York Islanders
NYI · 13-7-7
4–3
Final / OTW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 14-6-5
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NYI
2131110411429
TOR
1911411502340
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
NYI 13-7-7 · TOR 14-6-5 · First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
Islanders beat the Maple Leafs
The Islanders were outchanced (3.8 to 2.9 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Horvat's goal anyway. Ilya Samsonov allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.9, on 40 and 29 shots on goal.
NYI 2.9 xG · 29 shots
TOR 3.8 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.6 · 0.8
2nd
0.8 · 1.0
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 1.8
OT
0.1 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Auston Matthews · 1st 05:50 · 0–1 · snap shot, a great chance (25%)
2
Brock Nelson · 1st 09:20 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Casey Cizikas · 1st 18:33 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Kyle Palmieri · 2nd 01:10 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
John Tavares · 2nd 07:43 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Morgan Rielly · 3rd 19:53 · 3–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (45%)
7
Bo Horvat · OT 00:46 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 37.
NYI 37%TOR 63%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Auston Matthews · 1st 05:50 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a great chance (25%)
2
Brock Nelson · 1st 09:20 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Casey Cizikas · 1st 18:33 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Kyle Palmieri · 2nd 01:10 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
John Tavares · 2nd 07:43 · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Morgan Rielly · 3rd 19:53 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (45%)
7
Bo Horvat · OT 00:46 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
37/40 saves · 3 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
25/29 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
