NYI
4–3
ANA
Final · W
New York Islanders
NYI · 14-7-7
4–3
FinalW
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 10-18-0
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
01321329435
ANA
0229113324
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
NYI 14-7-7 · ANA 10-18-0 · First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
Islanders beat the Ducks
Chances were even (2.9 to 2.8 expected goals); the Islanders won 4–3. Holmstrom's winner came with 1:33 left. John Gibson allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 2.8, on 35 and 24 shots on goal.
NYI 2.9 xG · 35 shots
ANA 2.8 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.9 · 0.2
2nd
1.0 · 1.3
3rd
0.9 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kyle Palmieri · 2nd 00:40 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Casey Cizikas · 2nd 06:32 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Troy Terry · 2nd 07:47 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Adam Henrique · 2nd 13:29 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Sam Carrick · 3rd 05:07 · 2–3 · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Mathew Barzal · 3rd 07:46 · 3–3 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Simon Holmstrom · 3rd 18:27 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 52.
NYI 52%ANA 48%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Ducks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kyle Palmieri · 2nd 00:40 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Casey Cizikas · 2nd 06:32 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Troy Terry · 2nd 07:47 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Adam Henrique · 2nd 13:29 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Sam Carrick · 3rd 05:07 · 2–3
Wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Mathew Barzal · 3rd 07:46 · PP · 3–3
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Simon Holmstrom · 3rd 18:27 · SH · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
5
Unassisted · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2–3
No penalties
Goaltending
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
31/35 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
