New York Islanders
NYI · 16-9-9
0–7
FinalL
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 16-13-4
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
0407011022
PIT
0562017732
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Islanders trail the season series 0–1
NYI 16-9-9 · PIT 16-13-4 · First meeting this season — the Islanders trail the season series 0–1
Islanders fell to the Penguins
The Islanders were outchanced (4.5 to 1.7 expected goals) and lost 0–7. Ilya Sorokin allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 4.5 expected goals to 1.7, on 32 and 22 shots on goal.
NYI 1.7 xG · 22 shots
PIT 4.5 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.3 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
0.6 · 3.0
3rd
0.8 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Rickard Rakell · 2nd 06:44 · 0–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (40%)
2
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 10:15 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 10:27 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 12:48 · 0–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 16:06 · 0–5 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Radim Zohorna · 2nd 17:13 · 0–6 · backhand shot, a great chance (66%)
7
· 3rd 09:48 · 0–7 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 13.
NYI 13%PIT 87%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Rickard Rakell · 2nd 06:44 · GWG · 0–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (40%)
2
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 10:15 · 0–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 10:27 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 12:48 · 0–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 16:06 · 0–5
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Radim Zohorna · 2nd 17:13 · 0–6
Backhand shot, a great chance (66%)
7
· 3rd 09:48 · 0–7
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/25 saves · 6 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
6/7 saves · 1 GA · 0.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.