NYI
4–3
TOR
Final / OT · W
New York Islanders
NYI · 19-12-10
4–3
Final / OTW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 21-10-8
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NYI
1112150311430
TOR
1122140900335
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Islanders lead the season series 2–0
NYI 19-12-10 · TOR 21-10-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the Islanders lead the season series 2–0
Islanders beat the Maple Leafs
Down 1–3 in the 2nd period, the Islanders erased the deficit with three unanswered goals — Horvat's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Barzal's goal. Martin Jones allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 2.3, on 30 and 35 shots on goal.
NYI 2.7 xG · 30 shots
TOR 2.3 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.7
2nd
1.2 · 1.2
3rd
0.3 · 0.4
OT
0.1 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kyle Palmieri · 1st 00:40 · 1–0 · tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
2
Bobby McMann · 1st 12:39 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Auston Matthews · 2nd 00:26 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Auston Matthews · 2nd 02:40 · 1–3 · backhand shot, a great chance (26%)
5
Alexander Romanov · 2nd 04:18 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Bo Horvat · 2nd 13:51 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Mathew Barzal · OT 00:21 · 4–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 57.
NYI 57%TOR 43%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kyle Palmieri · 1st 00:40 · PP · 1–0
Tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
2
Bobby McMann · 1st 12:39 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Auston Matthews · 2nd 00:26 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Auston Matthews · 2nd 02:40 · 1–3
Backhand shot, a great chance (26%)
5
Alexander Romanov · 2nd 04:18 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Bo Horvat · 2nd 13:51 · PP · 3–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Mathew Barzal · OT 00:21 · GWG · 4–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
