NYI
3–2
DAL
Final / OT · W
New York Islanders
NYI · 20-15-11
3–2
Final / OTW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 27-13-6
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NYI
113051911328
DAL
01621401300243
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
NYI 20-15-11 · DAL 27-13-6 · First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
Islanders beat the Stars
Chances were even (2.4 to 2.9 expected goals); the Islanders won it in overtime on Horvat's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 2.9, on 28 and 43 shots on goal.
NYI 2.4 xG · 28 shots
DAL 2.9 xG · 43 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
0.3 · 1.1
3rd
1.0 · 1.0
OT
0.4 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alexander Romanov · 1st 02:52 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Jason Robertson · 2nd 11:35 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Nils Lundkvist · 2nd 15:08 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
· 3rd 05:23 · 2–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Bo Horvat · OT 00:41 · 3–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (35%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 42.
NYI 42%DAL 58%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alexander Romanov · 1st 02:52 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Jason Robertson · 2nd 11:35 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Nils Lundkvist · 2nd 15:08 · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
· 3rd 05:23 · 2–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Bo Horvat · OT 00:41 · GWG · 3–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (35%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
41/43 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
