NYI
6–2
TBL
Final · W
New York Islanders
NYI · 22-17-12
6–2
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 27-20-5
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
3143703624
TBL
1317010220
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
NYI 22-17-12 · TBL 27-20-5 · First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
Islanders beat the Lightning
Chances were even (2.1 to 2.4 expected goals); the Islanders won 6–2. Jonas Johansson allowed 3.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.1 expected goals to 2.4, on 24 and 20 shots on goal.
NYI 2.1 xG · 24 shots
TBL 2.4 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.0 · 0.3
2nd
0.7 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Noah Dobson · 1st 04:07 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 06:42 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Mathew Barzal · 1st 14:07 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Kyle Palmieri · 1st 18:35 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Brandon Hagel · 2nd 01:14 · 3–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Ryan Pulock · 2nd 07:10 · 4–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Bo Horvat · 2nd 08:18 · 5–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Casey Cizikas · 2nd 15:22 · 6–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 45.
NYI 45%TBL 55%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Noah Dobson · 1st 04:07 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 06:42 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Mathew Barzal · 1st 14:07 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Kyle Palmieri · 1st 18:35 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Brandon Hagel · 2nd 01:14 · PP · 3–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Ryan Pulock · 2nd 07:10 · PP · 4–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Bo Horvat · 2nd 08:18 · 5–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Casey Cizikas · 2nd 15:22 · 6–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
5
Anthony Cirelli, Victor Hedman · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3–2
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
18/20 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
18/24 saves · 6 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 3.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
