NYI
2–5
CGY
Final · L
New York Islanders
NYI · 22-18-12
2–5
FinalL
Calgary Flames
CGY · 25-22-5
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
06013217236
CGY
1821323524
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
NYI 22-18-12 · CGY 25-22-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Islanders fell to the Flames
The Islanders created the better chances (2.9 to 1.9 expected goals) — and lost 2–5. Semyon Varlamov allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Islanders created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 1.9, on 36 and 24 shots on goal.
NYI 2.9 xG · 36 shots
CGY 1.9 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.4
2nd
0.6 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
1.6 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
MacKenzie Weegar · 1st 03:47 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Jonathan Huberdeau · 2nd 08:38 · 0–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (45%)
3
MacKenzie Weegar · 2nd 15:16 · 0–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Brock Nelson · 3rd 04:00 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Blake Coleman · 3rd 15:59 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
6
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 3rd 17:28 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
MacKenzie Weegar · 3rd 19:38 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 68.
NYI 68%CGY 32%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
MacKenzie Weegar · 1st 03:47 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Jonathan Huberdeau · 2nd 08:38 · PP · 0–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (45%)
3
MacKenzie Weegar · 2nd 15:16 · GWG · 0–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Brock Nelson · 3rd 04:00 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Blake Coleman · 3rd 15:59 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
6
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 3rd 17:28 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
MacKenzie Weegar · 3rd 19:38 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/22 saves · 3 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
34/36 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
