NYI
2–4
TBL
Final · L
New York Islanders
NYI · 23-20-14
2–4
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 31-23-5
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
0609219234
TBL
291715421
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
NYI 23-20-14 · TBL 31-23-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Islanders fell to the Lightning
The Islanders created the better chances (3.5 to 2.0 expected goals) — and lost 2–4. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Islanders created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.0, on 34 and 21 shots on goal.
NYI 3.5 xG · 34 shots
TBL 2.0 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.2 · 0.8
2nd
1.1 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
2.2 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nick Paul · 1st 04:12 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
2
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 05:34 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Brayden Point · 2nd 05:00 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Anders Lee · 3rd 13:44 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Brock Nelson · 3rd 17:25 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Luke Glendening · 3rd 19:29 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 73.
NYI 73%TBL 27%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nick Paul · 1st 04:12 · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
2
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 05:34 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Brayden Point · 2nd 05:00 · PP · GWG · 0–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Anders Lee · 3rd 13:44 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 1–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Brock Nelson · 3rd 17:25 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Luke Glendening · 3rd 19:29 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
17/20 saves · 3 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
32/34 saves · 2 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
