NYI
4–2
STL
Final · W
New York Islanders
NYI · 27-20-14
4–2
FinalW
St. Louis Blues
STL · 32-27-3
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
01021726433
STL
082508221
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
NYI 27-20-14 · STL 32-27-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Islanders beat the Blues
Down 0–2 in the 2nd period, the Islanders erased the deficit with four unanswered goals — Pageau's equalizer — and won 4–2. The Islanders owned the 2nd period, 1.9 to 0.5 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Islanders created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 1.2, on 33 and 21 shots on goal.
NYI 3.5 xG · 33 shots
STL 1.2 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
1.9 · 0.5
3rd
0.5 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alexey Toropchenko · 2nd 01:21 · 0–1 · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Jordan Kyrou · 2nd 08:30 · 0–2 · snap shot, a great chance (31%)
3
Kyle Palmieri · 2nd 12:32 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 2nd 17:47 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Bo Horvat · 3rd 00:55 · 3–2 · wrap around shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
6
Mathew Barzal · 3rd 19:29 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 86.
NYI 86%STL 14%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Blues shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alexey Toropchenko · 2nd 01:21 · 0–1
Wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Jordan Kyrou · 2nd 08:30 · 0–2
Snap shot, a great chance (31%)
3
Kyle Palmieri · 2nd 12:32 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 2nd 17:47 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Bo Horvat · 3rd 00:55 · GWG · 3–2
Wrap around shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
6
Mathew Barzal · 3rd 19:29 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/21 saves · 2 GA · 1.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
