New York Islanders
NYI · 29-24-15
1–4
FinalL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 43-20-6
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
08011112131
CAR
31401119434
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
NYI 29-24-15 · CAR 43-20-6 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Islanders fell to the Hurricanes
The Islanders were outchanced (2.8 to 2.2 expected goals) and lost 1–4. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 2.2, on 34 and 31 shots on goal.
NYI 2.2 xG · 31 shots
CAR 2.8 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 1.0
2nd
0.6 · 1.1
3rd
1.0 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Seth Jarvis · 1st 12:48 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Seth Jarvis · 1st 14:53 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Martin Necas · 1st 19:58 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Kyle Palmieri · 3rd 04:30 · 1–3 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
5
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 16:22 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 39.
NYI 39%CAR 61%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Seth Jarvis · 1st 12:48 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Seth Jarvis · 1st 14:53 · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Martin Necas · 1st 19:58 · PP · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Kyle Palmieri · 3rd 04:30 · 1–3
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
5
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 16:22 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
30/31 saves · 1 GA · 2.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.